194 lines
5.3 KiB
Markdown
194 lines
5.3 KiB
Markdown
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## 🔮 Drew’s Predictions
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### 🤖 **Ubuntu + AI**
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**What’s true today**
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* AI is already a default part of Windows and macOS
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* Canonical has strong incentives to integrate AI at the OS level
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* Ubuntu has a history of shipping opinionated defaults first and dealing with backlash later
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**What I’m predicting**
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* Ubuntu ships AI features enabled by default
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* Privacy and telemetry debates follow immediately
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* Ubuntu becomes the first mainstream Linux distro where AI is unavoidable
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> “Ubuntu won’t ask if you want AI — it’ll ask how much control you want over it.”
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---
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### 📦 **Flatpak Normalization (Bluefin Model)**
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**What’s true today**
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* Bluefin already assumes Flatpak as the primary app delivery method
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* Advanced users are comfortable with this model
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* The broader Linux community still treats Flatpak as controversial
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**What I’m predicting**
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* Bluefin-style immutable desktops spread beyond enthusiast circles
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* Users stop noticing or caring about app formats
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* Distros stop justifying Flatpak — it simply becomes the default
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* The Flatpak argument fades because it’s no longer relevant
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> “Flatpak doesn’t win the argument — it outlasts it.”
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---
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## 🔮 **Quality Prediction: Linux Becomes the “Second OS” for Normal People**
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### **The Prediction**
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By the end of 2026, Linux doesn’t win primary desktop dominance — but it **wins as the second OS** for a growing number of users.
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---
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### **What’s true today**
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* Dual-booting and secondary machines are already common
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* Developers, privacy-minded users, and tinkerers already live half their lives in Linux
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* Windows and macOS are becoming more locked down, more cloud-dependent, and more opinionated
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---
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### **What I’m predicting**
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* Linux becomes the **“this is where I actually get work done” OS**
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* Windows/macOS become:
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* the gaming OS
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* the work-mandated OS
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* or the “I need this one app” OS
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* Linux quietly becomes the *preferred* environment, even if it’s not the default boot
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> “Linux doesn’t replace your OS — it replaces how you *feel* about your OS.”
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---
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### **Why this is important**
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* Market share numbers won’t tell the full story
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* Linux influence grows without winning headlines
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* Adoption happens without evangelism
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This fits perfectly with:
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* Flatpak normalization
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* Immutable desktops
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* Local AI tools
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* Containerized workflows
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---
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### **One-Line Version (If Time Is Tight)**
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> “Linux wins 2026 by being the OS people choose — not the one they’re given.”
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---
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### **Optional Light Humor Tag**
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> “Linux is the side OS that slowly becomes the main one.”
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---
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YES. Every prediction segment needs **one deliberately unserious take** so the audience can breathe 😄
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Here are **purely comical predictions** that still land *because they’re true-ish*.
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I’ll give you **five options** — pick **one** and commit.
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---
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## 😂 Option 1 (Best Fit for You): *The Linux Argument That Never Dies*
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> **“In 2026, Linux users will still be arguing about the same three things: systemd, Flatpak, and Wayland — even though all three have already won.”**
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**Why it works**
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* Self-aware
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* Zero targets
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* Instantly relatable
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**Tag line**
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> “The arguments will outlive us.”
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---
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## 🤡 Option 2: *The ‘Year of the Linux Desktop’ Prediction*
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> **“2026 will once again be declared the Year of the Linux Desktop — by the exact same people — for the exact same reasons.”**
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**Tag line**
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> “And next year will finally be the year.”
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---
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## 😈 Option 3: *The XFCE Energy Joke (Without Stealing Matt’s Take)*
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> **“XFCE will announce a feature in 2026 that everyone respects deeply… and nobody switches for.”**
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**Tag line**
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> “That’s not an insult — that’s a design philosophy.”
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---
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## 🧠 Option 4: *Linux AI Humor*
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> **“Linux will get an AI assistant, and the first thing it will do is ask if it’s allowed to exist.”**
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**Tag line**
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> “And then it’ll fork itself.”
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---
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## 🐧 Option 5: *Terminal Emulator Content*
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> **“In 2026, someone will release a new terminal emulator written in Rust that does exactly what the old one did — but faster.”**
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**Tag line**
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> “It will immediately win an award.”
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---
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## 🏆 My Recommendation
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**Option 1 or Option 4.**
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They’re:
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* Harmless
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* Timeless
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* Perfect palate cleansers after serious predictions
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---
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## 🎙️ How to Introduce It On-Air
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> “I have one prediction that I’m 100% confident in — and it’s not even controversial.”
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Then drop it.
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---
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## 🎯 Killer Closer (Use Once)
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> “If I’m wrong about everything else, I’m right about this.”
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If you want, I can:
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* Tune one of these to be **more dad-joke** or **more sarcastic**
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* Write a **callback** you can use later in the episode
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* Help you layer it into the flow so it doesn’t feel like a throwaway
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Pick your chaos 😄
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---
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