notes/s09/docs/vox.md

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source: https://www.vox.com/future-perfect/400531/ai-reasoning-models-openai-deepseek

I. Setting the Stage: The AI Reasoning Conundrum

  • Core Inquiry:
    • Are these new AI models genuinely engaging in "thought" or simply performing an elaborate mimicry of human reasoning?
  • Backdrop:
    • A shift from older, pattern-based models (like ChatGPT) to emerging systems that claim to "think" more like us.

II. Evolving AI: From Pattern Matching to Chain-of-Thought

  • Older AI Models:
    • Rely on vast datasets to produce rapid responses—more a matter of recall than reasoning.
  • New Contenders (e.g., OpenAIs o1 and DeepSeeks r1):
    • Use a method known as “chain-of-thought reasoning,” breaking problems into sequential, manageable steps.

III. Dissecting Chain-of-Thought Reasoning

  • How It Works:
    • The model decomposes a complex problem into smaller chunks, addressing each step in sequence.
  • Strengths and Weaknesses:
    • Excels at tasks requiring logical progression (think intricate puzzles or code challenges), yet sometimes stumbles on simpler tasks where a direct approach would suffice.

IV. The Great Debate: Real Reasoning or Clever Mimicry?

  • Skeptical Perspective:
    • Critics argue that what appears to be reasoning is just a sophisticated form of memorized heuristics—no true understanding involved.
  • Optimistic Perspective:
    • Advocates see these models as a significant leap forward, even if their reasoning is “jagged” (strong in some areas, limited in others).

V. Final Thoughts: Embracing Complexity with Cautious Optimism

  • Acknowledging the Progress:
    • The advances are impressive, yet we must remain critical of their limitations.
  • Looking Ahead:
    • These models are evolving. While they offer promising capabilities, their “intelligence” remains uneven—a reminder that genuine human thought is still uniquely nuanced.